Darkrai 5339 7815 1288 will try to add 10, please be online

2021.10.27 12:23 Low_Strawberry_7965 Darkrai 5339 7815 1288 will try to add 10, please be online

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2021.10.27 12:23 freakymuffdiver Me and me cute kitty

Me and me cute kitty submitted by freakymuffdiver to AsianGuysSFW [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 chemywords How does my 3.0 list look?

Mostly going to be used for friendly games, so I don't need it to be mega competitive. More want to know if it'll be useable!
Army Name: Likspit's Claws
Army Faction: Skaven
Battlepack: Pitched Battles
Points Limit: 2000 pts
General: Grey Seer
Grand Strategy: Dominating Presence
Triumph: Inspired
Core Battalions

Battle Regiment Grey Seer (General) Battalion Slot Filled: Commander Battlefield Role: Leader Command Traits: Verminous Valour Artefacts of Power: Snoutgrovel Robes Spells: Skitterleap Points Cost: 140 pts Warlock Bombardier Battalion Slot Filled: Sub-commander Battlefield Role: Leader Spells: More-more-more Warp Power! Points Cost: 125 pts Clanrats Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Battleline Reinforced: Once Points Cost: 260 pts Clanrats Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Battleline Points Cost: 130 pts Clanrats Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Battleline Points Cost: 130 pts Warp Lightning Cannon Battalion Slot Filled: Artillery Battlefield Role: Artillery Points Cost: 185 pts Stormfiends Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Points Cost: 315 pts Packmasters Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Points Cost: 60 pts Battle Regiment Master Moulder Battalion Slot Filled: Commander Battlefield Role: Leader Points Cost: 95 pts Hell Pit Abomination Battalion Slot Filled: Monster Battlefield Role: Behemoth Points Cost: 240 pts Giant Rats Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Reinforced: Once Points Cost: 80 pts Giant Rats Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Points Cost: 40 pts Giant Rats Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Points Cost: 40 pts Packmasters Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Points Cost: 60 pts Rat Ogors Battalion Slot Filled: Troops Battlefield Role: Other Clans Moulder Mutations: Toughened Sinews Points Cost: 95 pts 
Faction Terrain
Gnawhole Gnawhole Gnawhole 
Total Points: 1995 pts
Valid: Created with Warhammer Age of Sigmar: The App
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2021.10.27 12:23 captnamurica2 Inflationary Depression (Part 3): Time to Make Money

Taking what I have written in Part 1 and Part 2 (Both Parts are featured on the BurryEdge subreddit), I think we have enough information to figure out how to make strategic bets to protect ourselves from the impending increased inflation and the governments response to the inflation.
The Economic Environment
Interest rates have bottomed, as was explained in Part 1 and Part 2. We have put more Government money into the economy than any other time and we have increased M2 more than any other time in history.
Well, in response we have gotten an economy that cannot handle the amount of demand that it has produced. The output gap produced (as was discussed in Part 2) has resulted in shortages across the board. This has given us inflation that the government had not prepared for (who could have predicted all this government spending would lead to inflation). Consumers are picking up steam with the latest data showing a huge increase in houses bought, consumer confidence increasing, delivery times picking up, input price increases and working demanding more pay.
📷
Chart 1. Delivery Times (Along with Input and Output Prices) along with Core CPI Inflation showing a clear correlation
As you can see shortages are causing huge increases in delivery times and prices (with core inflation skyrocketing an important tool to try to predict what the Fed will do). Now how can we tell this is a fiscal stimulus problem? Because the US is the only one experiencing problems on the scale we are seeing here in the United States and the United States were the only ones to stimulate the economy in the extreme fashion that we did.
📷
Shortages and Inflation are much more extreme in the US due to Fiscal Stimulus
With basically every consumer goods company reporting shortages with insane demand which is coupled with the great resignation (discussed in Part 2) we have workers working in overdrive while not having wages that are keeping up with inflation. This has caused strikes across the board in what media is calling “striketober” as workers demand better conditions and more pay (this is extremely important). This could be the start of an unanchoring inflationary event known as the wage cost spiral. This is when workers expect more money to make up for their losses from inflation, this leads to higher input costs, which leads to higher output prices/higher inflation. This creates a feedback loop that can cause inflation to become unanchored in a negative manner. This is something we must keep a close look on. I believe if the John Deere strike results in success and they get higher pay, we could see more workers take notice and request higher pay across the country (I believe that strike specifically is the most important to pay attention to).
📷
Meme About Worker Strikes
Now where are we seeing shortages and increased expenses? Well basically everywhere, from semiconductors, to food, to fertilizer, to precious metals (such as magnesium, steel, aluminum), commodities (coal, natural gas, oil), coffee, housing, paper pulp (Paper is up roughly 50% from last year and experts expect another toilet paper shortage along with books), LumbeWood again, HVAC systems, Chicken, and the list just keeps going.
Why this isn’t transitory and could become dangerous
Well, we just need to wait on the pandemic right, this is just supply chain kinks, right? Wrong, if you look at the above charts, Charts 1 and 2, you will see where the supply kinks fixed themselves around March. What we are seeing is demand driven shortages due to an economy operating at a pace that it literally cannot handle especially with a drop in potential GDP (Part 2). This demand is now hitting us due to pent up savings (discussed in Part 1 and Part 2), and the previously discussed fiscal stimulation (Part 1 and 2), and Covid coming to an end in the eyes of consumers. This is also the first Covid free Holiday season being celebrated by most Americans in almost 2 years. We are seeing shortages pick up in SeptembeOctober because consumers are worried about inflation/shortages and are starting to pick up the inflationary mindset (Part 2), another possibly dangerous unanchoring event that we must pay attention to. So how do we make money on this? (I know you’re just thinking “Finally!!!!”)
The United States Treasury Bond
As discussed in Part 1and Part 2, the US has been increasing M2 at a breakneck pace and the economy has gotten near levels that the Fed will consider “tapering” or the reduction of Quantitative Easing (Part 1). What this means is that the money supply will stop growing as fast, as the government stops buying bonds to flush markets with cash (that’s basically all QE is). Now, for those of you who do not know, there is a correlation between treasury bond prices and treasury bond yields. They work inverse so when bond prices go up, bond yields go down and vice versa. Well, when the Fed begins to reduce its bond buying this will cause bond prices to go down as result to a reduction in demand. When the prices of bonds go down yields go up (This will be discussed more in another paragraph). This causes a double effect of not only decreasing the money supply by reducing bond buying, but it also causes a decrease in the money supply by increasing rates. And based on our core inflation readings from earlier with the shortages getting worse, I think it is safe to say that tapering will begin on November 2nd. This is why the 60-40 rule of stocks to bonds is now longer good risk management because stocks and bond now move
Currently private investors are not buying treasuries, and neither are banks (as of recently). The only large buyer of bonds currently is the Federal Reserve meaning that there is no demand at current levels if the Fed stops buying, leading to a reduction in bond prices. This is where we will begin the thesis for our short on 20 year treasury shortages in the form of the $TLT ETF. As tapering decreases we will see TLT increase to the long term inflation expectation rate of roughly 3% (this will increase as inflation increases of course, this expectation can easily change with inflation fears). Current 20 year bond rates are at about 1.7% today, which means we can expect at a minimum, an increase of about 1% in 20 year bond yields when tapering begins to reduce. A 1% change in bond yields leads to about an 18%-20% decrease of TLT (Remember this is the minimum amount it will drop from just tapering).
As investor fears about inflation picks up, this could cause rates to increase faster, as less investors want bonds so they demand a higher yield. This also does not take into account the Federal Reserve moving up its timetable for a federal fund rate hike which would lead to a money crunch and a further increase in bond yields as demand reduces. So a short on TLT is one investment I think is a good move since I see a minimum drop of roughly 20% (or a buy on TBT which just works as inverse). These are 2 vehicles I would look into for investing against inflation.
This could’ve had more detail but I think it gets the point across, if you have questions please comment below.
An Asset Crunch
As I said before, stocks and bonds have moved in tandem in recent years. This new correlation is why you should also begin to short stocks. Well first let’s discuss why they move in tandem. It’s because the yield of a treasury bond is the discount rate used by the market. If there is confidence in the dollaFed, then companies will use this as their discount rate. So, when interest rates increase, the value of all stocks decrease due to this discount rate, it also acts as a money crunch since less money would be borrowed. Also tapering is decreasing as well, which has the double effect of increasing rates and reducing the money supply. So obviously this would normally only cause a small effect on stocks, unless they are in a bubble (or overleveraged). As we learned in Part 1, stocks and houses, are in a bubble. Now why would stocks in a bubble be a larger cause to worry. Well stocks in a bubble, act as a Ponzi Scheme. Now bear with me for a moment while I explain. A bubble is when an asset ignores its underlying intrinsic value and people simply invest in it because someone else will invest in it leading the asset price to increase. A bubble implies that individuals aren’t paying attention to the business, they are expecting to make a return based on the sole reason that someone else will want to buy the stock, not anything to do with the underlying business. Now when the money supply decreases or the discount rate increases, there is no next man up to pay for the asset. As with a ponzi scheme, when there are no more buyers everyone begins dumping their shares because it is now impossible for the asset price to keep growing and if something isn’t growing (especially in an inflationary environment) this will lead to a total collapse of the price until it becomes something worth of value.
This doesn’t include price pressures put on by shortages or the volatility that can be created by options. I suggest anyone who is reading this to read the thread by @ thelastbearsta1 on twitter regarding volatility. This explains why an asset crash will not be as long as the bubble burst in ’99 but will be a sudden and flash crash among stocks in a bubble (along with the fact that option buying is at all time high levels, possibly causing reverse gamma squeezes). My personal choices for these “bubble stocks” are Tesla (if you’re about to argue with me on this, think about the fact that Tesla went up 100 billion on a 4 billion revenue, not profit, contract), almost any EV company, Roku (this is one of my favorites), new tech IPO’s, ARKK fund (Basically the biggest bubbles that are expecting more growth, that higher interest rates won’t allow), some space companies (or other government contracted companies due to the government having to pay more interest on future debt), and many more. These companies are not necessarily bad companies, I think Tesla is a great company and managed well by Elon Musk, but it is in a massive bubble and there’s no way investors are expecting meaningful returns from the business. As well as those companies, you should also look at any company overvalued based on a huge amount of debt where they are taking on more debt to grow (an interest increase causes debt to get much more expensive). I also suggest finding value investments as they thrive in a higher interest rate environment while growth stocks suffer, one of my favorites is DISCK which is merging with Warner Bros (A spin off of AT&T).
These are the companies I would investigate and then identify the best choices, I don’t have DD for these suggestions which is why you should not invest without doing your own due diligence!!! Details were skipped here obviously but I am giving you the overall idea of why I have gone short on certain positions, and I am relying on you to dig deeper or find some DD as it would take me a long time to go into each individual stock (I would expect our community to produce more DD’s on different bubbles over the coming months).
We have got to capitalize on Shortages
Shortages are also a great place to find gains, although most ETF’s regarding commodities are already at extremely high levels. We should also look at companies that are still set to benefit, I really like SXC, OVV, and STNG. We have some great DD on those 3 stocks on the BurryEdge subreddit if anyone would like to look more into those stocks, as they are all undervalued stocks. OVV is a natural gas and oil company, meanwhile STNG is a petroleum transportation company. Both have great write ups and are companies I am personally invested in (I’ve made roughly 25% in just stocks from those 2 and I believe they have more upside). SXC is an investment in coke steel plants (a great way to take advantage of steel when scrap prices are high). Some of the ideas that has been discussed are ideas in the food industry as well. Another way to capitalize on this is in a retailer that has prepped for shortages and are in an advantageous position such as WMT, a stock I have written DD for as well, and you can read more information on why I believe they are specially built for a shortage’s environment in the coming months. Just be on the lookout for shortages and honestly following the Shortages subreddit to follow future trends is probably not the worst idea. If you can get ahead of a shortages curve you can make a lot of money. Once again, I could have written much more but our community has other written pieces out there going in more detail, and I have given you the overall thesis for things to look into. If I were to jump into individual stocks I would take up way too much room.
Overall, in summary, inflation is here to stay, and we need to protect ourselves against it. I wish each of you good luck and I hope the information I have provided will help all of you achieve more financial freedom. I’m sorry for any spelling mistakes or grammatical errors, I hope it did not take away from the information given.
Remember I am not a professional nor do I claim to be. This is not investment advice, but merely musings from an amateur investor. I have positions in most of the positions listed above, they are through different types of securities such as Calls, Puts, and Stocks. If you choose to invest in any of these positions, you should inform yourself and do proper Due Diligence . The decision to invest in any position is yours and yours alone.
A special thanks to everyone who has followed and supported me through this 3-part series.
Thanks to all of you who followed my series, as I thoroughly enjoyed all of this. I found all material independently and I received feedback from the BurryEdge community, so if you’re interested in this material, please join that community. Thanks to all of you who have supported me through the toxic/rude feedback and a special thank you to all of those who critiqued me in a respectful manner and helped me look at new perspectives.
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2021.10.27 12:23 Sohuey Does this Kasa Smart Plug Power Strip support HomeKit?

Has anyone successfully used this Kasa power strip yet with HomeKit? https://www.amazon.com/Kasa-Smart-Power-Strip-TP-Link/dp/B07G95FFN3
The product is called: Kasa Smart Plug Power Strip HS300, Surge Protector with 6 Individually Controlled Smart Outlets and 3 USB Ports, Works with Alexa & Google Home, No Hub Required
I'm planning on purchasing 1 to use with my eufy 2k indoor cams so that I can turn the cameras on and off with the Homekit app when I'm home or away from home. Has anyone been able to make things work despite there not being any official HomeKit support?
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2021.10.27 12:23 ContentForager Season 7 (/r/TheBlackList)

Season 7 (/TheBlackList) submitted by ContentForager to mistyfront [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 DBreezy69 Friend of mine couldn't find a GPU and was stuck with a 1070 for years. I decided to send him this upgrade.

Friend of mine couldn't find a GPU and was stuck with a 1070 for years. I decided to send him this upgrade. submitted by DBreezy69 to pcmasterrace [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 Joel-Wing Marches Commemorate Anniversary Of Iraq’s Protest Movement

Marches Commemorate Anniversary Of Iraq’s Protest Movement submitted by Joel-Wing to MiddleEast [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 Extra-Pattern-1521 Roblox emotes be like:

Roblox emotes be like: submitted by Extra-Pattern-1521 to bloxymemes [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 fakeJerry_Lee 这下格局有了

这下格局有了 submitted by fakeJerry_Lee to China_irl [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 eutelic C loth

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2021.10.27 12:23 radiohead87 Corpus revue de philosophie, no. 47 . "Proudhon" 2004. [French]

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2021.10.27 12:23 kast0r_ Is there a way to connect to an RDP by selecting only the monitors that I need instead of selecting all of them?

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2021.10.27 12:23 noxxisgaming Emergency. Yeah, Right.

Emergency. Yeah, Right. submitted by noxxisgaming to Genshin_Impact [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 CelestineCrystal Anti-Chevron Crusader Steven Donziger Denied Reprieve, Says He Must Report to Prison Within a Day

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2021.10.27 12:23 Constant-Internet490 🐶Shiba Dash just launched!, 💸 6% Shiba Rewards 🔥 (Fair Launch, LP Locked for 1 Year), Missed Doge Dash? Don’t miss this one! 🟡

About us?
We are the best thing to happen to rewards tokens to date. We see ourselves as a long-term project and plan to work extraordinarily hard to deliver for our holders. Based on our project $ShibaDash rewards will be awarded in $SHIB. Therefore if you simply hold tokens 6% of rewards will be allotted in $SHIB
Here at $ShibaDash, our goal is simple. We want to truly reward our holders. Most other reward tokens give out small rewards and they don’t really make it worthwhile to hold their token. We want to change all that. We’ve been working incredibly hard to find creative ways to make the best rewards token we possibly can. So here’s what we’re doing to change the game.
Now on top of all this we also have a really neat buy-back staking feature we’re going to be implementing at launch. After every buy and sell, 1% of the transaction is sent to a wallet. This wallet keeps building, then at a desired amount, we stake the holdings of the wallet. After staking is finished we use these funds to purchase $ShibaDash in times of low volume or during dips. Then these tokens are reflected back to our holders. That is three separate ways we reward you for buying and being a loyal holder.
Coming in the following months after launch, we plan to release our own re-loadable crypto credit card! From our Rewards Hub, you will be able to choose the card as an option and the instantly have your rewards sent to the card in a usable currency. You will be able to make purchases anywhere that a regular credit card would be accepted.
So surely you don’t want to miss out on our up coming presale, this is one true gem of a project. Be sure to join our telegram group and follow us on twitter for all the latest information!
Marketing Plan
💰We will have a large marketing push at this point and advertise EVERYWHERE, we aleready have a huge budged collected from external investors. Once we get some holders and some volume flowing, we are planning to apply on CoinGecko and we will have great exposure there. We have plans for billboards, websites, online literature website, and buy votes for every crypto charting and ranking platforms. After a successful push we hope to have roughly High active members in our Telegram group. 💪
-Tokenomics
6% Base RewardsThis amount gets gets sent right back to our holders in the form of user-chosen rewards.
2% LiquidityThis amount gets sent right to our Liquidity Pool
1% For MarketingThese funds will be used for future marketing endeavours, such as billboards, online ads, AMA's, and giveaways.
1% Staking Buy-BackThese are the funds that get staked, then used as a buyback function, then the bought tokens get reflected back to holders.
🐶 Links:
Contract address: 0x0aec76aba86afbe36c625f18b059768ab1a8226c
BUY HERE: https://pancakeswap.finance/swap?outputCurrency=0x0aec76aba86afbe36c625f18b059768ab1a8226c
Renounced Ownership: https://bscscan.com/token/0x0aec76aba86afbe36c625f18b059768ab1a8226c#readContract
LP Locked: https://deeplock.io/lock/0x85c8D5A8b9db26EB489297BbC48b72e2e8760512
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2021.10.27 12:23 Muppyband95 Need 2 workers for Warehouse gig in Glenside!!!

Manager of a warehouse desperately in need of/ looking for 2 people to come pick and process retail orders and inventory. PM me . Can start asap!
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2021.10.27 12:23 Thnxredball Anyone know how to fix this? The side to my bed frame been broken and idk if there is any way to repair it.

Anyone know how to fix this? The side to my bed frame been broken and idk if there is any way to repair it. submitted by Thnxredball to howto [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 Nessie_The_Monster Found a bookmark folder full of old hopes and dreams, what should I do with it?

I've been helping my sister follow her creative passion, by looking at art schools I bookmarked for myself years ago. It hurts so much knowing what I've missed out on, it feels ridiculous that my avpd is to blame. Anyone here who gave up on themselves, would you take a second chance to follow an old passion, or make peace with a different lifestyle and start over?
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2021.10.27 12:23 iamHBY [October 27th, 2021], iBattleTV, Drugz vs Chef Trez

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2021.10.27 12:23 Initial_Size2472 The hidden sector x15 almost guaranteed

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2021.10.27 12:23 P_sout SECOND CHANCE fleet carrier Requests Loading of Bertrandite (15K / Ton Profit)

Greetings! The fleet carrier SECOND CHANCE (H1N-W9T) is requesting commanders fire up their haulers and fill her holds with BERTRANDITE and offers a 15K per ton profit as an incentive!
System: BRANI
Commodity: BERTRANDITE
Fleet Carrier: SECOND CHANCE (H1N-W9T) Demand: 23,000.
Station: Wundt Hub (L Pad)
Sell Price: 16,513 / T Buy Price: 31,517 / T (15K / T profit)
Best Practices: Check fleet carrier demand prior to purchase. Do not log out on the fleet carrier as SECOND CHANCE may jump out of the system with little notice once the holds are full. Please feel free to post here if the demand is satisfied. Thank you to all commanders able to help!
~CMDR PSOUT
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2021.10.27 12:23 obie_krice From last weekend in the Catskills [OC] - [2048 x 1365] // X-T20 & XF 10-24mm F4 OIS

From last weekend in the Catskills [OC] - [2048 x 1365] // X-T20 & XF 10-24mm F4 OIS submitted by obie_krice to fujix [link] [comments]


2021.10.27 12:23 jmdme Benzodiazepine-Induced Brain Injury: The Hidden Prescription Epidemic

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2021.10.27 12:23 jiggidedende How long does OSU take to early action applications?

I submitted my app yesterday and was wondering how long until I know the results?
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http://31pravda.ru